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The world is an uncertain place, which is why the future and the unknown absolutely fascinate us. Veteran television journalist Mike Wallace asked the question "What will life be like 50 years from now?" to sixty of the world's greatest minds. Their responses offer a fascinating glimpse into the cultural, scientific, political, and spiritual moods of the times. Edited and with an introduction by Mike Wallace, this book provides an imaginative and thought-provoking look into our collective soul and the critical issues that underlie our hopes, prayers, fears, and dreams for life in the 21st century.
Contributors include former presidents, leading scientists, noted writers and artists, respected religious leaders, and current political figures, including:
- Vint Cerf, Vice President of Google; known as a "Father of the Internet"
- Francis S. Collins, M.D., Ph.D., a geneticist who led the Human Genome Project
- Dr. Wanda Jones, Director of the Office on Women's Health at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
- Ray Kurzweil, an inventor whose developments include the first print-to-speech reading machine for the blind and the first text-to-speech synthesizer
- General James E. Cartwright, Commander of United States Strategic Command
- Kim Dae-jung, the former President of the Republic of Korea
- Ronald Noble, Secretary General of Interpol
- Norman Borlaug, Nobel Peace Prize winner; called "the father of the Green Revolution"
- Carol Bellamy, former Executive Director UNICEF, first former volunteer to serve as director of Peace Corp, and current president and CEO of World Learning
- Gerardus 't Hooft, Professor of Theoretical Physics at Utrecht University in the Netherlands; Nobel Prize in Physics
- Craig Newmark, Internet pioneer and founder of craigslist
- Sales Rank: #2843902 in Books
- Published on: 2008-04-15
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.49" h x .87" w x 6.38" l, 1.01 pounds
- Binding: Hardcover
- 256 pages
From Publishers Weekly
These short meditations on the world in 50 years are overwhelmingly devoted to developments in human health, climate change and technology, with a disappointing scarcity of speculation about any social or spiritual transformations. Scientists, who make up more than half of the contributors, predict that genetic engineering will be commonplace and AIDS obsolete, although infectious diseases will adapt and prosper. Marriages will be arranged by compatible genotype; the oceans will rise; cats will no longer be kept as pets—they will have been identified (along with hamsters and birds) as transmitters of everything from Parkinson's to schizophrenia. China and India will be the new superpowers, and the U.S. will finally adopt the metric system. Although many writers note that certain species of plants and animals will be extinct in 50 years, only one laments that several languages will also be dead. This privileging of the scientific viewpoint makes the contributions from immunologist Peter Doherty and writer Michael Shermer all the more welcome as they attempt to focus on humanity rather than technology, imagination more than data. Perhaps it is easier to chart the course of climate change than social change—still the inhabitants of the planet and the future of their governments, beliefs and values deserve as much attention as the planet itself. (Apr .15)
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
About the Author
Mike Wallace is a Professor of Public Management at Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University. He is an Associate Director of the Advanced Institute of Management Research (AIM), responsible for research capacity building in the management field. He is also the Economic and Social Research Council s Strategic Adviser for Researcher Development. Mike is series editor of the Sage Learning to Read Critically series of books. His own research on managing change in the public services is reported in many books and academic journals.
Most helpful customer reviews
11 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
We need new leaders to confront global problems
By Jaume Puigbo Vila
The list of personalities who contribute to this book is impressive, including several Nobel Prize winners in Physics, Medicine, Chemistry , Economics and Peace.
The most clear-sighted say that the future is essentially unpredictable ("the hallmark of science has been unanticipated great leaps"), but there are two main conclusions: we need a new political leadership ( "there is a lack of vision in global affairs", something more acute in the US, of course) and they and we need to take care of some major problems: energy, water and food supplies, climate change, demography, health problems (obesity and its derivatives being a prominent one).
Then, there are a few somewhat surprising statements:
-Most mental illnesses will be proven to be of microbial origin (transmitted by animals)
-People will live over 140 years of quality life
-AIDS will be fought with an anti-HIV virus
-We will know the exact positions and velocities of a 100 billion galaxies
-We will have clones (but they will be distinct from us)
-In order that in 2058 all humans enjoy the standards of living enjoyed now by the West you need to build one Gigawatt power plant every single day for 40 years
-We will recreate life in the laboratory
-There will be intelligent self-programmable machines that will evolve much faster than us so we will be forced to become hybrids (cyborgs)
-There will be methods to convert CO2 directly to useful fuels
-In the future medicine will be predictive, personalized, preemptive and participatory
-We will download 3D blueprints and simple solid products will be nanoassembled at home
-A lot of people will spend a lot of time immersed in virtual reality (Second Life Plus)
-Neurological and psychiatric illnesses will be cured
-Replacing organs grown from our stem cells will be routine
-Driving to work will be mostly a thing of the past (telecommuting)
Optimistic forecasts:
-Science is going to kill the soul stone dead (Dawkins)
-We will understand subjective consciousness (also Dawkins, this might be more realistic), but others doubt it ("I doubt that the code of consciousness will be cracked")
-We will recreate life in the laboratory
-Intelligent extraterrestrials will be discovered in the next 100 years
And pessimistic forecasts:
-Pandemics
-Bio and nuclear terrorism
-Christian and Islamic fundamentalism could bring us to a Dark Age (we could lose our way as it happened when the library in Alexandria was destroyed)
-Crowded cities will be jungles of crime
And outlandish forecasts:
-Flying cars
-Flying shoes
-A global network of maglevs
-California will be a nation
And some nasty facts:
-Carbon dioxide stays in the atmosphere for 100 years
-42% of Americans over 85 have Alzheimer's disease
-If you stay in a hospital you have a 15% chance of getting an infection
Reminders of sensible principles:
-Where goods do not cross frontiers, armies will
Finally:
The XXIst century technologies will be: information technology, life sciences, nanotechnology and neurotechnology.
4 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Looking ahead
By Bruce H. Weik
I like to hear from people who are moving us ahead in areas I know little about. Their titles don't necessarily impress me, but their brains do. Genetics, pharmacology, bioethics, international police organizations, physics, these are all things I don't normally think much about. It is both fascinating and scary to hear what they have to say about the future. I hope we can deal with it.
2 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
"Club of Rome" with a grinning face
By G. Stelzenmuller
Interesting, though these kinds of books have a horrible record for actual projections. So, that old saying really is true, that predictions are difficult, especially ones about the future. Wouldn't it be fun to ask each contributor to "50 Years" to back his/her predictions with a ten-buck bet? But then we would have few "far out" articles to read and guffaw over! Mr. Mike Wallace was able to shanghai several dozen notables to pen their thoughts and conclusions, and the final finished production of all these is admirable enough. We can suppose having Mr. Wallace as the drawing card turned out to be a useful enough feature for the book publisher.
The reader should be forewarned that vastly many of the short chapter-articles tend to the fairly pessimistic, although most of these put a sardonic or brave face on their gloomy outcomes. We can suppose that this "covers" the author when times turn out better (they always seem to, don't they?), whereby the author can be pleasantly surprised that things went so well; this tends to make readers think better of them, unlike the reverse situation! Not until chapter five, John Christy's contribution, that we are finally treated to an optimistic piece. Five cheers for Mr. Christy, no reward for the earlier ones. The final chapter by Ross Gelbspan is a terrible book-finisher: "The Earth in 50 Years: Rescue ... or Ruin?" Mr. Gelbspan picked "ruin." The tone was thinly disguised sarcasm, probably at us humans for being so evilly human. Good grief!
In spite of this review's relatively low rating for the famous Mike Wallace, the book does flow well. If you favor a book that do make you ponder, reads smoothly, and can be understood half-seriously, then "50 Years" is a pretty good pick. At least check it out from your local library.
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